All markets
Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027?
5%chance
- Yes4.9%
Outcomes
- Yes5%
4.9¢ per share
- No95%
95.2¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 4.9¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 4.8¢ | 86.76 | $4.16 |
| 4.7¢ | 86.76 | $4.08 |
| 4.5¢ | 90 | $4.05 |
| 4.4¢ | 20 | $0.88 |
| 4.1¢ | 70.88 | $2.91 |
| 4¢ | 80.91 | $3.24 |
| 3.9¢ | 70.88 | $2.76 |
| 3.8¢ | 346.7 | $13.17 |
| 3.7¢ | 833.34 | $30.83 |
| 3.6¢ | 252.56 | $9.09 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 4.9¢ | 756.76 | $37.08 |
| 5¢ | 356.76 | $17.84 |
| 5.2¢ | 20 | $1.04 |
| 5.3¢ | 20 | $1.06 |
| 5.6¢ | 211.86 | $11.86 |
| 5.9¢ | 905.7 | $53.44 |
| 6¢ | 194.58 | $11.67 |
| 6.3¢ | 320.17 | $20.17 |
| 6.9¢ | 214.82 | $14.82 |
| 7.9¢ | 214.86 | $16.97 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.