All markets
Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?
3%chance
- Yes3%
Outcomes
- Yes3%
3.0¢ per share
- No97%
97.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 3¢Spread 1.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5¢ | 200 | $5.00 |
| 2.4¢ | 200 | $4.80 |
| 2.1¢ | 1,965.62 | $41.28 |
| 2¢ | 363.64 | $7.27 |
| 1.5¢ | 500 | $7.50 |
| 1.2¢ | 416.6 | $5.00 |
| 1.1¢ | 454.5 | $5.00 |
| 1¢ | 550 | $5.50 |
| 0.9¢ | 555.5 | $5.00 |
| 0.7¢ | 850 | $5.95 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.6¢ | 18.1 | $0.65 |
| 3.7¢ | 480.45 | $17.78 |
| 3.9¢ | 364 | $14.20 |
| 4.6¢ | 350 | $16.10 |
| 4.8¢ | 199.99 | $9.60 |
| 5¢ | 1,234.18 | $61.71 |
| 5.1¢ | 458 | $23.36 |
| 5.2¢ | 1,100 | $57.20 |
| 6.9¢ | 1,000 | $69.00 |
| 7.5¢ | 300 | $22.50 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.