All markets
Alcatraz reopened in 2026?
17%chance
- Yes17.1%
Outcomes
- Yes17%
17.2¢ per share
- No83%
82.8¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 17.1¢Spread 31¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.6¢ | 25.58 | $0.41 |
| 1.4¢ | 40 | $0.56 |
| 1.3¢ | 20.87 | $0.27 |
| 1.2¢ | 93.4 | $1.12 |
| 1.1¢ | 87.16 | $0.96 |
| 1¢ | 500 | $5.00 |
| 0.9¢ | 5 | $0.05 |
| 0.7¢ | 5 | $0.04 |
| 0.6¢ | 5 | $0.03 |
| 0.5¢ | 41.89 | $0.21 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 32.6¢ | 28.8 | $9.39 |
| 79.8¢ | 44.99 | $35.90 |
| 79.9¢ | 300 | $239.70 |
| 99.6¢ | 190.26 | $189.50 |
| 99.7¢ | 673.32 | $671.30 |
| 99.8¢ | 1,017.14 | $1,015.11 |
| 99.9¢ | 2,028.65 | $2,026.62 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.