All markets
Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch?
2%chance
- Yes2.3%
Outcomes
- Yes2%
2.3¢ per share
- No98%
97.8¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 2.3¢Spread 1.5¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5¢ | 100 | $1.50 |
| 1.4¢ | 30 | $0.42 |
| 1.3¢ | 30 | $0.39 |
| 1.1¢ | 219.6 | $2.42 |
| 0.9¢ | 190 | $1.71 |
| 0.8¢ | 448.77 | $3.59 |
| 0.7¢ | 203.94 | $1.43 |
| 0.5¢ | 568.36 | $2.84 |
| 0.4¢ | 248.36 | $0.99 |
| 0.2¢ | 2,669.29 | $5.34 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3¢ | 30 | $0.90 |
| 3.1¢ | 320 | $9.92 |
| 3.3¢ | 130 | $4.29 |
| 3.4¢ | 213.36 | $7.25 |
| 3.6¢ | 243 | $8.75 |
| 3.7¢ | 212.68 | $7.87 |
| 3.8¢ | 250 | $9.50 |
| 4¢ | 595.37 | $23.81 |
| 4.1¢ | 154.22 | $6.32 |
| 4.2¢ | 31 | $1.30 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".