All markets
Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch?
4%chance
- Yes4.4%
Outcomes
- Yes4%
4.4¢ per share
- No96%
95.6¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 4.4¢Spread 2.2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.3¢ | 40 | $1.32 |
| 3.2¢ | 10.3 | $0.33 |
| 3¢ | 40 | $1.20 |
| 2.9¢ | 496.53 | $14.40 |
| 2.6¢ | 496.7 | $12.91 |
| 2.5¢ | 43.1 | $1.08 |
| 2.3¢ | 205.36 | $4.72 |
| 2.2¢ | 181.52 | $3.99 |
| 2.1¢ | 77.28 | $1.62 |
| 1.9¢ | 6.33 | $0.12 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5¢ | 100 | $5.50 |
| 5.6¢ | 350 | $19.60 |
| 5.7¢ | 30 | $1.71 |
| 5.9¢ | 201.83 | $11.91 |
| 6.2¢ | 193.41 | $11.99 |
| 6.3¢ | 42.81 | $2.70 |
| 6.4¢ | 250 | $16.00 |
| 6.5¢ | 262.72 | $17.08 |
| 6.6¢ | 197.96 | $13.07 |
| 6.7¢ | 43.79 | $2.93 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".