All markets
Probable FDV above $500M one day after launch?
7%chance
- Yes7.4%
Outcomes
- Yes7%
7.4¢ per share
- No93%
92.6¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 7.4¢Spread 0.8¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 7¢ | 10.8 | $0.76 |
| 6.9¢ | 31 | $2.14 |
| 6.8¢ | 30 | $2.04 |
| 6.7¢ | 220 | $14.74 |
| 6.6¢ | 216.37 | $14.28 |
| 6.3¢ | 148.19 | $9.34 |
| 6.2¢ | 75.01 | $4.65 |
| 6.1¢ | 5 | $0.31 |
| 6¢ | 315.99 | $18.96 |
| 5.9¢ | 162.59 | $9.59 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 7.8¢ | 14.39 | $1.12 |
| 7.9¢ | 300 | $23.70 |
| 8.2¢ | 143.56 | $11.77 |
| 8.5¢ | 161.55 | $13.73 |
| 8.6¢ | 87.12 | $7.49 |
| 8.8¢ | 309.24 | $27.21 |
| 8.9¢ | 135.44 | $12.05 |
| 9¢ | 150.63 | $13.56 |
| 9.1¢ | 88.13 | $8.02 |
| 9.4¢ | 157 | $14.76 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".