All markets
Probable FDV above $300M one day after launch?
13%chance
- Yes12.7%
Outcomes
- Yes13%
12.7¢ per share
- No87%
87.3¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 12.7¢Spread 0.4¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 12.5¢ | 29.9 | $3.74 |
| 12.4¢ | 80 | $9.92 |
| 12.2¢ | 30 | $3.66 |
| 12.1¢ | 63.08 | $7.63 |
| 11.9¢ | 30 | $3.57 |
| 11¢ | 85.74 | $9.43 |
| 9.6¢ | 493.59 | $47.38 |
| 9.1¢ | 10 | $0.91 |
| 6.3¢ | 10 | $0.63 |
| 4.5¢ | 1,199 | $53.96 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 12.9¢ | 260 | $33.54 |
| 13.3¢ | 180.82 | $24.05 |
| 13.4¢ | 21.99 | $2.95 |
| 14.2¢ | 5 | $0.71 |
| 14.3¢ | 242.58 | $34.69 |
| 15.2¢ | 1,234 | $187.57 |
| 19.3¢ | 130 | $25.09 |
| 59.1¢ | 100.45 | $59.37 |
| 59.2¢ | 220 | $130.24 |
| 59.4¢ | 5 | $2.97 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".