All markets
Probable FDV above $200M one day after launch?
11%chance
- Yes11.1%
Outcomes
- Yes11%
11.1¢ per share
- No89%
88.9¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 11.1¢Spread 0.2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 11¢ | 30 | $3.30 |
| 10.9¢ | 214.79 | $23.41 |
| 10.6¢ | 103.58 | $10.98 |
| 10.2¢ | 118 | $12.04 |
| 10.1¢ | 30 | $3.03 |
| 10¢ | 367 | $36.70 |
| 9.9¢ | 30 | $2.97 |
| 8.9¢ | 10.9 | $0.97 |
| 8.1¢ | 418.13 | $33.87 |
| 7.8¢ | 157.5 | $12.29 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 11.2¢ | 110.06 | $12.33 |
| 11.3¢ | 164.79 | $18.62 |
| 12.1¢ | 30 | $3.63 |
| 12.2¢ | 367 | $44.77 |
| 12.6¢ | 65 | $8.19 |
| 12.7¢ | 107.19 | $13.61 |
| 13.4¢ | 35.05 | $4.70 |
| 13.6¢ | 1,234 | $167.82 |
| 14.5¢ | 114 | $16.53 |
| 19.9¢ | 5 | $1.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".