All markets
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?
13%chance
- Yes12.8%
Outcomes
- Yes13%
12.8¢ per share
- No87%
87.2¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 12.8¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 12.8¢ | 135.75 | $17.38 |
| 11.7¢ | 60 | $7.02 |
| 10¢ | 143 | $14.30 |
| 9.9¢ | 30 | $2.97 |
| 9.8¢ | 530.93 | $52.03 |
| 5.2¢ | 5 | $0.26 |
| 3.9¢ | 102.56 | $4.00 |
| 3.8¢ | 10 | $0.38 |
| 3.6¢ | 20 | $0.72 |
| 3.5¢ | 20 | $0.70 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 12.9¢ | 290.47 | $37.47 |
| 13¢ | 24.33 | $3.16 |
| 13.2¢ | 30 | $3.96 |
| 13.3¢ | 206.34 | $27.44 |
| 14.3¢ | 5 | $0.72 |
| 14.5¢ | 30 | $4.35 |
| 15.3¢ | 1,284 | $196.45 |
| 15.6¢ | 30 | $4.68 |
| 21.2¢ | 530 | $112.36 |
| 56.5¢ | 402.55 | $227.44 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".