All markets
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?
14%chance
- Yes13.5%
Outcomes
- Yes14%
13.5¢ per share
- No87%
86.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 13.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 13¢ | 14.12 | $1.84 |
| 12¢ | 743.5 | $89.22 |
| 11¢ | 50 | $5.50 |
| 10¢ | 533.33 | $53.33 |
| 6¢ | 21.5 | $1.29 |
| 5¢ | 1,030 | $51.50 |
| 2¢ | 200 | $4.00 |
| 1¢ | 18.8 | $0.19 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 14¢ | 717.13 | $100.40 |
| 15¢ | 231.7 | $34.75 |
| 16¢ | 1,284 | $205.44 |
| 49¢ | 19.6 | $9.60 |
| 50¢ | 20 | $10.00 |
| 56¢ | 220 | $123.20 |
| 59¢ | 3,000 | $1,770.00 |
| 60¢ | 7,375 | $4,425.00 |
| 63¢ | 800 | $504.00 |
| 78¢ | 1,363.63 | $1,063.63 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".