All markets
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
<1%chance
- Yes0.7%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.7¢ per share
- No>99%
99.4¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 0.7¢Spread 0.3¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5¢ | 804.81 | $4.02 |
| 0.4¢ | 2,000 | $8.00 |
| 0.3¢ | 3,800 | $11.40 |
| 0.2¢ | 3,879.4 | $7.76 |
| 0.1¢ | 22,710.48 | $22.71 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8¢ | 106 | $0.85 |
| 0.9¢ | 350.47 | $3.15 |
| 1¢ | 105 | $1.05 |
| 2¢ | 1,500 | $30.00 |
| 2.1¢ | 50.44 | $1.06 |
| 3.1¢ | 2,005 | $62.16 |
| 6.7¢ | 100 | $6.70 |
| 7¢ | 100 | $7.00 |
| 9¢ | 100 | $9.00 |
| 10¢ | 64 | $6.40 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Jeffrey Epstein is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying evidence includes, but is not limited to, verified documentation, blockchain evidence, or other definitive evidence. If Satoshi Nakamoto is conclusively identified as a group or collective rather than a single individual, definitive evidence that Jeffrey Epstein was a member of that group will qualify. Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.