All markets
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
3%chance
- Yes3.3%
Outcomes
- Yes3%
3.3¢ per share
- No97%
96.8¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 3.3¢Spread 1.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.7¢ | 5.31 | $0.14 |
| 2.6¢ | 500 | $13.00 |
| 2.5¢ | 1,173.84 | $29.35 |
| 2.2¢ | 1,407.78 | $30.97 |
| 2.1¢ | 200 | $4.20 |
| 2¢ | 1,471.3 | $29.43 |
| 1.7¢ | 3,444.2 | $58.55 |
| 1.2¢ | 856.6 | $10.28 |
| 1.1¢ | 454.5 | $5.00 |
| 1¢ | 567.25 | $5.67 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.8¢ | 500 | $19.00 |
| 4¢ | 1,069 | $42.76 |
| 4.4¢ | 12.03 | $0.53 |
| 4.5¢ | 1,460.72 | $65.73 |
| 4.6¢ | 5.12 | $0.24 |
| 4.8¢ | 3,752.36 | $180.11 |
| 5¢ | 526.3 | $26.31 |
| 5.3¢ | 440 | $23.32 |
| 5.7¢ | 500 | $28.50 |
| 5.8¢ | 212.31 | $12.31 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy incorporated is margin called on any of its Bitcoin-backed loans by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, resulting in either a forced liquidation of Bitcoin by a lender or MicroStrategy posting additional collateral or making a loan repayment in response to the margin call. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A margin call is defined as a lender formally requiring MicroStrategy to either provide additional collateral or repay part of a loan due to the value of Bitcoin collateral falling below the required loan-to-value (LTV) ratio. Voluntary Bitcoin sales by MicroStrategy that are not explicitly in response to a margin call will not count. The primary resolution sources will be SEC filings, official MicroStrategy statements, and a consensus of credible financial reporting.