All markets
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
9%chance
- Yes8.5%
Outcomes
- Yes9%
8.5¢ per share
- No92%
91.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 8.5¢Spread 5¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 6¢ | 30 | $1.80 |
| 5¢ | 100 | $5.00 |
| 4¢ | 9.77 | $0.39 |
| 3¢ | 828 | $24.84 |
| 2¢ | 814.07 | $16.28 |
| 1¢ | 1,911.17 | $19.11 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 11¢ | 20 | $2.20 |
| 12¢ | 28.5 | $3.42 |
| 13¢ | 30 | $3.90 |
| 14¢ | 70 | $9.80 |
| 19¢ | 55 | $10.45 |
| 46¢ | 91.75 | $42.21 |
| 47¢ | 20 | $9.40 |
| 50¢ | 38.46 | $19.23 |
| 59¢ | 20 | $11.80 |
| 61¢ | 20 | $12.20 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) issues a new combined license (COL) for the construction and operation of a nuclear power plant by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A combined license must be clearly identified as such and documented in official NRC releases. Only initial issuances count; amendments, renewals, or partial approvals do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.