All markets
Human moon landing in 2026?
1%chance
- Yes1.5%
Outcomes
- Yes1%
1.5¢ per share
- No99%
98.6¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 1.5¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.4¢ | 5.01 | $0.07 |
| 0.8¢ | 423.48 | $3.39 |
| 0.6¢ | 1,099 | $6.59 |
| 0.5¢ | 800 | $4.00 |
| 0.4¢ | 1,350 | $5.40 |
| 0.3¢ | 3,102.85 | $9.31 |
| 0.2¢ | 30,496 | $60.99 |
| 0.1¢ | 90,827.18 | $90.83 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5¢ | 20 | $0.30 |
| 1.6¢ | 218 | $3.49 |
| 1.7¢ | 226.06 | $3.84 |
| 1.8¢ | 20 | $0.36 |
| 2¢ | 20 | $0.40 |
| 2.4¢ | 102.45 | $2.46 |
| 3.3¢ | 152 | $5.02 |
| 3.4¢ | 195.37 | $6.64 |
| 3.7¢ | 163 | $6.03 |
| 3.8¢ | 180.85 | $6.87 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.