All markets
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
90%chance
- Yes89.5%
Outcomes
- Yes90%
89.5¢ per share
- No11%
10.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 89.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 89¢ | 247.61 | $220.37 |
| 88¢ | 173.61 | $152.78 |
| 87¢ | 60 | $52.20 |
| 86¢ | 6,353.52 | $5,464.03 |
| 85¢ | 1,200 | $1,020.00 |
| 84¢ | 2,300 | $1,932.00 |
| 83¢ | 8,075.62 | $6,702.76 |
| 82¢ | 8,836.25 | $7,245.72 |
| 81¢ | 1,599.99 | $1,295.99 |
| 80¢ | 1,603.3 | $1,282.64 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 90¢ | 8,946.21 | $8,051.59 |
| 91¢ | 1,040 | $946.40 |
| 92¢ | 2,400 | $2,208.00 |
| 93¢ | 5,957.53 | $5,540.50 |
| 94¢ | 6,913.19 | $6,498.40 |
| 95¢ | 2,407 | $2,286.65 |
| 96¢ | 50,520 | $48,499.20 |
| 97¢ | 174.94 | $169.69 |
| 98¢ | 1,050 | $1,029.00 |
| 99¢ | 6,025.44 | $5,965.19 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".