Geopolitics

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- October 1896%
- October 2193%
$35.3M Vol.

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US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 1698%
October 1794%

$13.5M Vol.monthly

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 3160%
December 3135%

$40.5M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

$646.6K Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot50%
Benjamin Netanyahu28%

$46.6M Vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

<1%chance

$2.7M Vol.16 days left

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

$1.8M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

$367.6K Vol.

Iran leadership change by...?

June 30, 202724%
December 3113%

$27.4M Vol.

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

December 3133%
November 3022%

$2.0M Vol.

$570.8K Vol.

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

October 1697%
October 1794%

$540.1K Vol.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

2%chance

$44.1M Vol.2 months left

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

3%chance

$14.9M Vol.2 months left

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 316%
October 31<1%

$18.1M Vol.

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro71%
Delcy Rodríguez23%

$98.3M Vol.

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

October 15>99%
October 1899%

$2.0M Vol.

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?

October 599%
October 895%

$115.3K Vol.monthly

Geopolitics

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

Trump out as President before 2027?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?