Trump

Fed Decision in October?
- No change80%
- 25 bps increase20%
$33.2M Vol.monthly

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US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

October 12>99%
October 1595%

$1.1M Vol.

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 12>99%
October 1596%

$11.2M Vol.monthly

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

18%chance

$73.8M Vol.2 months left

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 3167%
December 3144%

$39.4M Vol.

What will Trump say this week? (October 5 - October 11)

1%chance

$283.8K Vol.Ended

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 3126%
October 317%

$8.8M Vol.

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

6%chance

$24.0M Vol.2 months left

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase76%
No change23%

$3.0M Vol.monthly

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

33%chance

$526.7K Vol.9 months left

Fed Decision in January?

No change64%
25 bps increase33%

$345.4K Vol.monthly

US imports Russian diesel by October 31?

24%chance

$164.3K Vol.19 days left

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro71%
Delcy Rodríguez24%

$98.2M Vol.

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

December 3113%
October 313%

$2.3M Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31, 202767%
November 30, 202766%

$8.5M Vol.

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 6 - October 13, 2026?

120-13956%
140-15926%

$65.4K Vol.daily

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

December 3136%
November 3028%

$3.0M Vol.

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?

Fake News96%
Transgender96%

$24.5K Vol.

Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?

December 3111%
October 317%

$15.8K Vol.

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 202796%
US1%

$3.7M Vol.

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?

280M75%
270M9%

$30.8K Vol.monthly

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%chance

$12.5M Vol.2 months left

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

December 31, 202646%
November 30, 202630%

$689.7K Vol.

Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by...?

December 3178%
October 3177%

$66.1K Vol.

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?

140-15926%
200+24%

$33.2K Vol.daily

Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

No Meeting by December 3153%
Qatar18%

$154.4K Vol.

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China77%
No meeting by December 3118%

$1.8M Vol.

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Jared Kushner42%
Steve Witkoff42%

$1.3M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%chance

$27.1M Vol.2 months left

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Vladimir Putin80%
Mohammed bin Salman69%

$1.3M Vol.monthly

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?

200+19%
140-15916%

$17.4K Vol.daily

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

December 3135%
November 3024%

$1.8M Vol.

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

3%chance

$1.3M Vol.2 months left

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Below 19028%
205-20920%

$324.8K Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.1M Vol.

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

Ilhan Omar97%
Barack Obama96%

$107.0K Vol.monthly

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

76%chance

$158.0K Vol.22 days left

Which bills will become law in 2026?

$182.9K Vol.

Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?

Flávio Bolsonaro85%
Delcy Rodriguez78%

$66.7K Vol.monthly

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

4.25%26%
4.75%18%

$18.6K Vol.