Business

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)96%
- 1 (25 bps)2%
$54.0M Vol.

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Max Spread ±4.5¢

Min Shares 50

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3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?

Alphabet43%
Microsoft40%

$64.9K Vol.monthly

Largest Company end of October 2026?

NVIDIA96%
Apple4%

$241.8K Vol.monthly

IPOs before 2027?

Anthropic74%
Discord7%

$7.5M Vol.annual

OpenAI IPO by...?

June 30, 202737%
March 31, 202722%

$3.1M Vol.

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Anthropic54%
SpaceX46%

$6.5M Vol.

CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 202923%
December 31, 202820%

$114.1K Vol.

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Viking Therapeutics13%
Perplexity AI11%

$18.4M Vol.

3rd Largest Company end of October?

Alphabet88%
Microsoft13%

$36.8K Vol.monthly

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.7%16%
Below 4.6%5%

$350.3K Vol.

Discord IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO by December 31, 202759%
8–11B12%

$136.7K Vol.

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA84%
Apple15%

$8.0M Vol.monthly

Alphabet’s Market Cap end of 2026?

$4.00-$4.50T30%
$4.50-$5.00T14%

$16.6K Vol.monthly

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Elon Musk97%
Warren Buffett1%

$1.9M Vol.monthly

Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?

$2.50-$3.00T43%
$3.00-$3.50T27%

$10.0K Vol.monthly

UBS announces move out of Switzerland by...?

June 30, 202721%
December 31, 20269%

$6.3K Vol.

Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

Morgan Stanley83%
Goldman Sachs16%

$89.1K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?

$1.50-$2.0021%
$2.50-$3.0021%

$68.2K Vol.monthly

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Anthropic65%
OpenAI13%

$210.9K Vol.monthly

AI bubble burst by...?

June 30, 202719%
December 31, 20266%

$3.0M Vol.

Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Workhorse14%
Beyond Meat9%

$252.4K Vol.

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 202922%
December 31, 202819%

$1.7M Vol.

GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?

$2.75-$3.0028%
$3.00+24%

$33.8K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ in 2026?

↓ $2.2554%
↓ $2.0046%

$15.5K Vol.daily

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

81%chance

$333.3K Vol.2 months left

Holtec Nuclear IPO Closing Market Cap

$21.9K Vol.

Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO before 202867%
<20B8%

$149.7K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?

$5.50+45%
$5.00-$5.5022%

$51.4K Vol.monthly

2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?

Apple93%
NVIDIA4%

$21.2K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?

↓ $3.7551%
↓ $3.5043%

$20.6K Vol.monthly

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

RBC3%
KeyBank3%

$81.5K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?

$0.75-$1.0063%
$1.00-$1.2532%

$48.7K Vol.monthly

How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?

80%38%
75%34%

$35.1K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H200) end of November?

$6.50+24%
$6.00-$6.5020%

$20.7K Vol.monthly

US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

42%chance

$1.8K Vol.2 months left

GPU rental prices (A100) end of November?

$0.75-$1.0053%
$1.00-$1.2522%

$15.5K Vol.monthly

SB Energy IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO before January 202774%
$50B-$60B16%

$33.9K Vol.

Nvidia’s Market Cap end of 2026?

$5.50-$6.00T23%
$6.00-$6.50T23%

$22.6K Vol.monthly

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

1.5T+56%
No IPO by December 31, 202720%

$457.9K Vol.

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$800B79%
$1T70%

$1.6M Vol.

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

$717.9K Vol.

Kraken IPO by ___ ?

December 31, 202758%
June 30, 202739%

$1.6M Vol.

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?

$0.60+52%
$0.55-$0.6025%

$51.6K Vol.monthly

Deepseek IPO by...?

December 31, 202777%
September 30, 202765%

$51.1K Vol.

GPU rental prices (B200) end of November?

$7.00-$7.5024%
<$7.0021%

$8.2K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?

$7.00+78%
$6.00-$6.508%

$98.2K Vol.monthly

Bloomberg IPO by...?

December 31, 202732%
September 30, 202725%

$11.9K Vol.

2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?

Apple72%
NVIDIA17%

$28.4K Vol.monthly

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

4%chance

$244.9K Vol.2 months left

Apple’s Market Cap end of 2026?

$4.50-$5.00T32%
$5.00-$5.50T32%

$5.9K Vol.monthly

Discord IPO by __?

December 317%
November 303%

$14.8K Vol.

$252.6K Vol.

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

3%chance

$30.3K Vol.2 months left

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

Frontier Airlines8%
JetBlue7%

$156.4K Vol.

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

33%chance

$123.4K Vol.2 months left

Critical Discord Incident by...?

November 3054%
October 3116%

$19.9K Vol.monthly