Elections

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Democrats Sweep62%
- R Senate, D House28%
$22.4M Vol.

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Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen42%
Édouard Philippe22%

$149.8M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

$980.4K Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot46%
Benjamin Netanyahu31%

$45.7M Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
Jon Ossoff16%

$1.3B Vol.

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

$1.1M Vol.

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)63%
Ken Paxton (R)36%

$3.4M Vol.

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party91%
Republican Party10%

$16.5M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Aleksandar Vučić73%
Ilija Srdanović16%

$1.1M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

$550.7K Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance23%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%

$715.6M Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance48%
Marco Rubio15%

$711.1M Vol.

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra96%
Steve Hilton4%

$41.8M Vol.

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Chiang Wan-an65%
Puma Shen35%

$870.0K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

$111.8K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)71%
Mike Rogers (R)30%

$1.6M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo80%
Pedro Sánchez16%

$1.8M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson83%
Ulf Kristersson15%

$10.0M Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party64%
Republican Party37%

$6.3M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Luca Niculescu62%
Sorin Grindeanu14%

$4.9M Vol.

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

20-2443%
25-2926%

$490.5K Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola73%
Sen. Dan Sullivan28%

$1.3M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$20.4K Vol.

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Olivia Chow66%
Brad Bradford35%

$325.2K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election Winner

Roger Marshall (R)63%
Adam Hamilton (D)38%

$884.0K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará

Lula82%
Flavio Bolsonaro17%

$40.3K Vol.

NY-23 House Election Winner

Nick Langworthy (R)95%
Aaron Gies (D)2%

$51.7K Vol.

GA-11 House Election Winner

John Cowan (R)96%
Chris Harden (D)2%

$74.8K Vol.

OH-14 House Election Winner

David Joyce (R)95%
Maria Jukic (D)5%

$75.2K Vol.

Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?

$45.0K Vol.

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

24%chance

$3.9M Vol.22 days left

Florida Governor Election Winner

Byron Donalds (R) 79%
David Jolly (D)22%

$293.8K Vol.

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D)62%
Jon Husted (R)40%

$1.2M Vol.

Arizona Governor Election Winner

Katie Hobbs (D)87%
Andy Biggs (R)12%

$130.0K Vol.

House favorite on November 2 wins the election?

92%chance

$23.7K Vol.22 days left

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

$67.8K Vol.

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Marine Le Pen89%
Édouard Philippe50%

$346.5K Vol.

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%chance

$12.5M Vol.2 months left

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Ruas <5%28%
Ruas 5-10%19%

$20.9K Vol.

HI-02 House Election Winner

Jill Tokuda (D)96%
Brenton Awa (R)4%

$80.6K Vol.

How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

47–49 and 193–20725%
≤46 and ≤19222%

$63.9K Vol.

Alabama Governor Election Winner

Tommy Tuberville (R)94%
Doug Jones (D)6%

$34.6K Vol.

Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R)79%
Gina Hinojosa (D) 21%

$525.2K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

$52.6K Vol.

WI-05 House Election Winner

$89.0K Vol.

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

$533.7K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad

Lula68%
Flavio Bolsonaro32%

$56.7K Vol.

Iowa Governor Election Winner

Rob Sand (D)88%
Zach Lahn (R)13%

$161.1K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

$41.7K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

$7.8K Vol.

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner

Chris Pappas (D)89%
John E. Sununu (R)12%

$327.8K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

$7.3K Vol.

NM-02 House Election Winner

$73.4K Vol.

Idaho Senate Election Winner

Jim Risch (R)95%
Todd Achilles (I)4%

$140.4K Vol.

NY-24 House Election Winner

$43.7K Vol.

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

$81.9K Vol.

FL-14 House Election Winner

Kathy Castor (D)68%
Mike Beltran (R)28%

$66.1K Vol.

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Jean-Luc Mélenchon94%
Marine Le Pen92%

$539.7K Vol.

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Nithya Raman52%
Karen Bass48%

$15.3M Vol.

Spain General Election Winner

PP86%
PSOE14%

$99.7K Vol.

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D)69%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)31%

$324.8K Vol.

NJ-02 House Election Winner

Jeff Van Drew (R)84%
Zack Mullock (D)17%

$38.3K Vol.

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ulrich Siegmund79%
Sven Schulze3%

$453.6K Vol.

Next Serbia Presidential Election Winner

Miloš Vučević35%
Ana Brnabić21%

$75.9K Vol.

France United Left Primary Winner

Canceled96%
Clémentine Autain<1%

$244.4K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Likud50%
Yashar49%

$631.0K Vol.

HI-01 House Election Winner

Ed Case (D)95%
Adriel Lam (R)4%

$46.9K Vol.

Texas Senate Election: Fort Bend County Winner

James Talarico (D)97%
Ken Paxton (R)2%

$11.4K Vol.

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

↓ 7%50%
↑ 12%21%

$180.4K Vol.

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

61%chance

$48.8K Vol.2 months left

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Below 19028%
205-20920%

$324.8K Vol.

TX-36 House Election Winner

Brian Babin (R)95%
Rhonda Hart (D)4%

$47.6K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2838%
Tally Gotliv13%

$44.5K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova89%
Аndrey Gyurov12%

$1.2M Vol.

NY-17 House Election Winner

Cait Conley (D)61%
Mike Lawler (R)40%

$65.4K Vol.

Tocantins Governor Election Winner

Vicentinho Júnior60%
Professora Dorinha40%

$27.8K Vol.

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Florida99%
California97%

$430.5K Vol.

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R)73%
Independent28%

$586.6K Vol.

MN-06 House Election Winner

Tom Emmer (R)96%
Doug Chapin (D)5%

$68.0K Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.1M Vol.

Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

S + MP + C + V25%
S + MP21%

$85.1K Vol.

CO-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%21%
Republican 3-6%21%

$16.1K Vol.

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

PSD69%
UDMR47%

$47.2K Vol.

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

Remain 40–60%68%
Remain 20–40%20%

$14.4K Vol.

Oregon Governor Election Winner

Tina Kotek (D)78%
Christine Drazan (R)22%

$87.3K Vol.

Rhode Island Governor Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 10-15%21%
Democrat 20-25%20%

$16.4K Vol.

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Independent/Technocrat63%
PSD16%

$331.9K Vol.

TX-04 House Election Winner

Pat Fallon (R)95%
Jason Pearce (D)5%

$56.0K Vol.

NC-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 6-9%24%
Republican 9-12%18%

$14.8K Vol.

OH-11 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 60-65%34%
Democrat 55-60%22%

$11.7K Vol.

Democratic Senate odds on October 16?

62-64%38%
64-66%37%

$4.1K Vol.weekly

TX-27 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%33%
Republican 15-20%22%

$10.5K Vol.

MN-05 House Election Winner

Ilhan Omar (D)96%
John Nagel (R)4%

$61.7K Vol.

FL-16 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 3-6%20%
Republican 6-9%16%

$18.0K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

Yashar56%
Yisrael Beiteinu55%

$50.3K Vol.

Massachusetts Governor Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 20-25%24%
Democrat 25-30%23%

$15.5K Vol.

Maine Senate Election Winner

Troy Jackson (D)59%
Susan Collins (R)42%

$2.2M Vol.

Kelowna Mayoral Election

Ron Cannan68%
Tom Dyas26%

$20.6K Vol.

NY-26 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 35-40%27%
Democrat 40-45%25%

$14.0K Vol.